What are the roulette odds of the ball landing in the same colour ten times in a row? What about landing on the same number twice? Let´s take a look, and then we´ll explain how this relates to the Gambler´s Fallacy, or the Monte Carlo Fallacy- the belief that the odds of a black number coming in increase, the more times you see red.
Let´s look at a European Roulette wheel. Over a single spin, the odds of a red number coming up are 18/37, or 1 in 2.06. Over 2 spins, the odds of 2 reds coming in are 1 in 2.06×2.06, or 4.24.
The odds of seeing 10 reds in succession are 1 in (2.06) to the power of 10 = 1 in 1376.
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Roulette Bets And Odds
What is the highest roulette odds probability? 48.60% are the odds on a roulette table for a wide range of outside bets. For example, the bets including Even/Odd, Red/Black or Low/High offer the highest odds on roulette with European (48.60%) and American (47.40%) layout. These roulette betting odds mean that your chance to hit a win is almost 50:50. Roulette Odds: The Basics As a starting point, you need to understand that different variants of roulette will have different odds. And different bets will also have different odds (one of the reasons why, when we are thinking about European Roulette versus European Roulette, we always advise you to play the latter where possible).
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Pretty low odds that you´ll ever see this, in other words. But that doesn´t mean it isn´t going to happen. In fact, the longest number of reds in a row was recorded in an American Casino in 1943 when 32 came up in a row. Now imagine that you were betting the Martingale that day! The odds of seeing that are 1 in 11 million, or thereabouts by the way.
Another huge streak (this time on black) was seen by the players at the Casino in Monte Carlo who saw 26 blacks in a row on the table on 18 August 1913. The odds of this happening? A mere 1 in 145,000.
And this gave name to the Monte Carlo Fallacy, otherwise known as the Gambler´s Fallacy, as the longer the streak went on, more and more people started piling their chips on to red. And they lost a lot of money.
So what happened?
Gambler´s Fallacy
The important thing to understand and to get your head around, is that these are odds over multiple spins. And here´s the thing. In roulette, you can´t bet on what is going to happen over 10 spins, you can only bet on the next spin. And thus the odds are always the same – 18/37, whether the red came in 10 times previously or not. The wheel has no memory from spin to spin. It is not a living thing.
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You are Betting on One Spin Not Multiple Spins
When you are betting on one spin, the odds are for one spin, and for one spin only.
When you are betting on one spin, the odds are for one spin, and for one spin only.
One things for sure about the Gambler´s Falllacy- the casinos love it! Don´t get sucked in, keep your thinking hat on.
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One thing’s for sure- there are plenty of people who have worked out that the odds are with the casino on roulette, and have opted to scam the casinos instead, like the roulette scam in Ohio. Just be warned- that’s illegal. They got busted.
FAQs Roulette Probabilities
- What are the odds of seeing 10 reds in a row on a roulette wheel? The odds of seeing 10 reds one after another are 1 in (2.06)10 = 1 in 1376. But remember, you cannot bet on 10 spins, only on a single spin. Here the odds are 1 in 2.06
- What is the definition of the Gambler’s Fallacy in roulette? The Gambler’s Fallacy is the incorrect belief that a certain event like flipping a coin or the ball landing on a black number is more or less likely, due to a previous sequence of events.
This is incorrect for mutually exclusive events because each event is independent with a result that has no relation to past events. Think about it this way. Is the wheel thinking after each spin, “I spun a red last spin. Let´s throw in a black to even things up.” No.
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Roulette Bets And Odds Betting
The roulette wheel has dozens of different slots, so it’s natural for such a game to have a lot of wagering possibilities. Depending on the name of the game you’re playing, these betting options can become complicated. Whatever the case, the odds of the game are static for the most part. Once you get past the roulette myths and start analyzing the game, you’ll find it’s a straightforward proposition. That’s good to know, because those studying roulette are likely to come across a handful of self-appointed gambling experts who might try to con them into trying alternative strategies. These tips make more of the game than they should, hoping beginners will assume they have the secrets to the game. The fact is, the odds of roulette are stacked heavily against you, so you should play the game for its entertainment value–not to beat the casino. In this article, I’ll take a look at the various bets and explain the probabilities underlying them. This should put you in the mindset for a relaxing game of roulette.
What are the Odds in Roulette?
Despite the great number of wagers offered at a roulette table, the odds of the game don’t change much from one play to the next.
Standard European roulette has a house edge of 2.7%.
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American roulette has a house edge of 5.26%. If you play using special la partage or imprisonment rules, the odds are halved: down to 1.35% in European single-zero roulette and 2.63% in American double-zero roulette.
La partage double-zero games are found in Atlantic City in the United States, though Euro casinos have the rule. In online casinos, you might find all these games offered alongside one another, so it pays to know the probabilities of each.
In any case, your strategy research on roulette should involve which games to play, instead of which bets to place. The various betting options are the same from an odds perspective, except for one or two betting options I’ll get into later.